NASA increases chances of Earth impact by an asteroid in 2032

NASA scientists have once again raised the chances of asteroid 2024 YR4 hitting Earth at the end of 2032, according to new data released. This comes after recent calculations that predict a 3.1% chance of this asteroid hitting our planet, a significant increase compared to the 1.2% chance earlier estimated by the European Space Agency (ESA) earlier this year.

The asteroid, known as 2024 YR4, is about the size of a football field and has drawn the attention of scientists due to the potential damage it could cause if it strikes Earth. Its impact would be a potential catastrophe for a wide region of the planet, especially if it were to occur in populated areas.

Although the chances of impact have increased, scientists emphasize that there is no need for alarm. They continue to monitor the asteroid and perform new calculations to better understand its trajectory and the possibility of it hitting Earth. NASA and the European Space Agency’s James Webb Space Telescope will continue to monitor the asteroid for several more weeks, before it disappears from view as it moves into a position where it can no longer be observed until 2028.

Another important aspect is that, in the case of a potential impact, the asteroid would travel through a “danger corridor” that crosses several populated areas of the planet. The corridor could include the Eastern Pacific Ocean, parts of South America, the Atlantic Ocean, Africa, the Arabian Sea, and South Asia. NASA scientists have assessed that the asteroid’s impact would cause a major catastrophe in these regions, including the possibility of massive explosions, tsunamis, and potential climate changes that would follow the impact.

The data provided by NASA from recent observations is crucial for efforts to predict and manage the possible impact of this asteroid. Scientists are intensively working to improve calculation models and develop possible options for deflecting the asteroid’s trajectory, if necessary, to prevent a potential impact.

Currently, although the likelihood of an impact has increased, it is still not possible to make accurate predictions about the potential destination of the asteroid. Scientists will continue to monitor the situation to more clearly determine the risk and possibilities for intervention if needed.

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