Italian meteorologists are warning of an Arctic trough, stating that a significant part of the Old Continent may face Siberian frosts.
The question arising from their analyses is whether this weather development might be a transient Balkan intrusion, with a brief influx of cold air, or a more structured change supported by an anticyclonic ridge capable of strengthening along the meridian axis.
Italian meteorologists emphasize that the expected meteorological development around mid-January outlines a particularly interesting scenario, which has drawn some convergence among major physical-mathematical models.
This rare alignment between forecasts suggests that we may face a significant shift from the recent phase characterized by mild temperatures and generally variable weather. Current predictions indicate a hemispheric-scale atmospheric pattern that could materialize between January 12 and 13. The European model, in particular, highlights hints of a “fracture” in the polar vortex, a phenomenon involving the fragmentation of the zonal flow and paving the way for more southern dynamics.
This process could be decisive in blocking the flow of the Atlantic and forming a closed low-pressure system over the Mediterranean. Such a configuration, associated with eastern currents of continental origin, would represent a clear departure from the recent meteorological scenario.
For enthusiasts of cold weather conditions, Italian meteorologists at Meteoweb.eu say this development could mark a significant step forward. However, questions remain open regarding the actual impact and duration of this potential change. It could be a transient Balkan intervention, with a rapid and short-lived cold air influx, or a more structured change supported by an anticyclonic shield capable of strengthening along the meridian axis.
The final scenario would provide a stable bridge between the cold air present in northeastern Europe and the Mediterranean depression, leading to more intense and prolonged winter conditions.
If the strength of the Atlantic proves too strong, the evolution toward a truly winter-like climate could be jeopardized or reduced to a short-lived episode. Conversely, a weakening of the zonal flow could allow for a significant drop in temperatures, with notable impacts on the central Mediterranean.
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